The results are in. Ontario’s snap election has delivered Premier Doug Ford and the Progressive Conservatives a third consecutive majority government. While widely expected, the victory reaffirms Ford’s ability to maintain power amid shifting economic and political headwinds.
This campaign was shaped by economic concerns. With the looming prospect of a 25% tariff on Canadian goods under the second Trump presidency, Ford made stability the central focus of his message. His $18 billion economic shield plan, aimed at protecting key industries and jobs, became the defining policy of the election. Opposition parties attempted to turn attention toward affordability and healthcare, but Ford’s pitch for steady leadership resonated—particularly in suburban and rural Ontario, where the PCs maintained a stronghold.
A Look at the Results
With strong support in key battlegrounds, the PCs secured another majority government, holding their dominance in the 905 region and rural Ontario, sending 80 MPPs to Queen’s Park.
Under Marit Stiles’ leadership, the Ontario NDP secured 18.5% of the popular vote and retained their status as the official opposition, despite losing four seats compared to the 2022 election. With a 27-seat caucus, Stiles pledged to hold Ford’s majority accountable, prioritizing healthcare and government ethics.
For the Liberals, the election was a step forward. By winning 14 seats, Bonnie Crombie’s party regained official party status, granting them increased funding, staffing, and legislative privileges. Despite the overall gains, Crombie failed to secure her own seat in Mississauga East-Cooksville but has pledged to remain as party leader.
The Campaign’s Defining Issues
From the outset, the election was a referendum on Ontario’s economic future. Ford’s PCs centred their campaign on the province’s ability to withstand economic turbulence, while the Liberals and NDP tried to shift the focus towards cost-of-living pressures, healthcare, and education.
Crombie’s platform promised universal access to a family doctor, expanded mental health services under OHIP, and a universal school lunch program, aiming to appeal to voters frustrated with the state of public services.
What Happens Next
With a renewed mandate, Ford’s government will move quickly to implement its key priorities:
Economic Stability – The PCs will roll out their $18 billion response plan to counteract potential U.S. tariffs and support affected industries.
Infrastructure Investment – Ontario’s $200 billion infrastructure strategy will continue, with a focus on highways, transit, and skilled trades training.
Healthcare Expansion – A $1.8 billion investment in primary care aims to reduce wait times and connect Ontarians with family doctors.
Meanwhile, the Liberals and NDP will challenge Ford on affordability and public services while laying the foundation for a competitive race in 2029.
Final Thoughts
This election reaffirmed Ford’s ability to win, but it also signalled a shift in Ontario’s political landscape. With economic pressures mounting and a changing opposition dynamic at Queen’s Park, the next few months will set the stage for Ontario’s future.
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